Fully baked into erosolar.live • no separate site

How long until China
reaches Mythos / Fable 5?

Companion analysis — all data, profiles, forecasts, and hardware details now live here on the main site. Sourced from the same daily baked seed as the rest of the index.

Gap: 4–7 months (compute-bounded) DeepSeek V4-Pro: open weights (MIT) as of 2026-06-14
01

Summary & Gap

Trajectory: Narrowing on coding/agentic; persistent/widening on hardest reasoning, multimodal, safety. Bounded by compute (HBM + lithography) into 2028+.
02

State of the Race — Chinese Labs

03

DeepSeek V4-Pro — Full Technical Profile

04

Catch-up Forecast

When could Chinese models match frontier-class capability, dimension by dimension?

05

Hardware & Constraints

NVIDIA vs Huawei — the binding limits on training and serving.

06

GPUs & Supply

07

Training Details

08

US vs China — Broader Dimensions

The contest splits: US leads frontier/models/chips/capital; China leads deployment, energy, robotics, applied AI, surveillance.

Scoreboard (directional): US 6 • China 6 • Even 0. Two theories of winning diverge.